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Marketplace All-in-One

A sign investors think the economy will remain strong

Marketplace All-in-One

Marketplace

News, Business

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 2 December 2025

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Corporate bond spreads, extra compensation that corporate bonds pay out compared to government bonds, have been narrowing this year, which means investors aren’t demanding much additional money to account for additional credit risk. That could indicate that investors think economic growth could pick up in the near term. Also on the program: a trade deal regarding U.K. pharmaceuticals and OPEC's plans to keep oil production flat to start the new year.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Consumers are worried about the economy ahead yet. Investors in corporate bonds live in a different world.

0:09.7

I'm David Brancaccio in Los Angeles. When the price of bonds fall, the effective interest rate, the yield goes up. That's how we track market interest rates. These collective decisions in the market for government bonds are a signal

0:22.1

that the pros and their algorithms figure the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates again

0:27.2

this month. Meanwhile, corporations also raise money with bonds, and the corporate bond market is also

0:33.2

sending signals about where the economy may be headed. Marketplaces Justin Ho is here to read the code.

0:39.8

Corporate bonds are generally considered to be riskier than government bonds, since companies are just

0:44.6

more likely to run into trouble and default. As a result, investors want to get additional compensation

0:50.4

to take on that additional credit risk. That's Lawrence Gillum, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at LPL Financial.

0:56.3

That extra compensation that corporate bonds pay out compared to government bonds is called

1:00.8

a spread, and those spreads can change.

1:03.6

There's been times where spreads are lower, obviously times when spreads are higher as well,

1:07.9

this time being one of those times where spreads are lower.

1:11.5

In fact, spreads have been fairly low for most of this year. In other words, investors aren't

1:16.3

demanding much extra compensation from companies. John Canavan, lead market analyst at Oxford

1:21.3

Economics, says that's a sign investors think economic growth will stay strong and that

1:26.1

companies will be in a good position to pay back

1:28.2

their debt. If that's the case, then you are optimistic about getting your money back. You are not

1:33.0

going to demand as high a yield from these corporations because you believe your risk is a little bit

1:39.2

less. And that means corporations themselves will find it easier and cheaper to borrow money.

1:44.7

If you're willing to give me $100 million at very friendly terms, then I can find ways to invest that.

1:52.3

I can find ways to help build my company with that.

1:55.1

And that kind of investment can help the economy.

...

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