4.5 • 808 Ratings
🗓️ 30 June 2025
⏱️ 8 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
The GOP bill in Congress could make sweeping changes to Medicaid, the joint federal-state health insurance program for 70 million low-income people and people with disabilities. North Carolina recently expanded coverage for an additional 660,000 people. There, it's been a "lifeline" for some rural areas and injected federal dollars into the state’s economy. We’ll hear what’s at stake with federal cuts. But first: the disconnect between "an economy that's slowing down and a stock market that's heating up."
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0:00.0 | The U.S. and U.K. reach a new trade deal. |
0:04.7 | From Marketplace, I'm Nancy Marshall Ginsburg, in for David Bancaccio. |
0:08.8 | First, we'll get lots of new data this week. |
0:12.0 | The stock market is also on a role. |
0:14.0 | We're joined now by Julia Coronado. |
0:16.2 | She's founder and president of macro policy perspectives |
0:19.4 | and a professor at the University of Texas, Austin. |
0:23.0 | Good morning, Julia. |
0:24.4 | Good morning. |
0:25.4 | This is a short but busy week. |
0:27.3 | We'll get a number of reports on the labor market with the big jobs report on Thursday. |
0:32.3 | What will you be looking for in the tea leaves of all that data? |
0:35.9 | So job growth has been slowing in the U.S. |
0:39.0 | And we expect continued slowing. Most economists are looking for a number closer to |
0:44.8 | 100,000 jobs created down from, say, 140,000 last month and much stronger numbers last year. |
0:53.9 | Is there a jobs benchmark the Federal Reserve is looking for? last month and much stronger numbers last year. |
0:58.3 | Is there a jobs benchmark the Federal Reserve is looking for? |
1:06.3 | So if we see job creation below, say, 100,000, would that nudge Fed officials toward a rate cut next month? |
1:14.2 | Well, that's a tricky question because the job's growth is expected to slow in part because immigration is slowing. And when immigration slows, there's fewer workers to hire. And that's not |
1:20.4 | necessarily a problem. It just means the U.S. labor market will grow slower. So we use the |
1:25.8 | unemployment rate as the guide to whether the labor market |
1:30.0 | is actually weakening. If that's rising, that tells you that labor supply isn't strong enough to |
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