9/16/22: Election Deniers Crumbling, 2022 Midterms Imminent
The David Pakman Show
David Pakman
4.6 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 16 September 2022
⏱️ 60 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
-- On the Show:
-- Democrats continue to improve their chances of holding onto the House and Senate based on new 2022 midterm projections
-- Donald Trump goes on Hugh Hewitt's radio show and threatens "big problems" if he's indicted
-- Republican New Hampshire Senate candidate Don Bolduc tries to distance himself from statements he made about the 2020 election being stolen from Trump
-- MyPillow CEO and Founder Mike Lindell appears to lose his mind after the FBI seizes his mobile phone
-- Caller has a problem with self-sabotaging
-- Caller wonders if the problems with capitalism can be solved or if a complete overhaul is necessary
-- Eric from Cancun talks about his martial arts classes
-- Caller wonders if Trump did anything good for the United States
-- Caller is a military member who doesn't think the armed forces is "woke" as the right claims
-- Caller asks David what his price would be to become a grifter
-- Caller has an idea for a workaround to the Second Amendment
-- Caller asks about getting more third-party representation
-- David responds to viewer emails and messages
-- On the Bonus Show: King Charles III off to a bad start, Blake Masters wants to fire "woke" generals, Senate delays same-sex marriage vote, and much more...
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| 0:00.0 | All right, let us waste no time because we have such an agenda here at the start of today's show. |
| 0:21.2 | Updated numbers for Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate in what now are midterm |
| 0:26.9 | elections that are just about six weeks away. |
| 0:29.9 | Those continue to improve for Democrats in both the House and Senate, although Democrats |
| 0:35.9 | are still not favored to win in the House. |
| 0:38.3 | Let's look at the numbers in the 538 forecast for the Senate 2022. |
| 0:44.8 | It is now a 71% chance that Democrats will win and only a 29% chance that Republicans |
| 0:52.5 | will win. |
| 0:53.5 | Most likely outcomes are Democrats maintaining a 50 50 majority because Kamala Harris would |
| 1:00.0 | be the tie breaking vote vote or Democrats having a 51 to 49 advantage. |
| 1:05.6 | The way that these numbers have changed over the last several months is directly in the |
| 1:10.4 | favor of Democrats. |
| 1:11.8 | As you can see, if you're looking at the screen at the beginning of June, Democrats had |
| 1:15.7 | about a 40% chance of holding the Senate that has climbed steadily to a new high of 71%. |
| 1:23.0 | Now, things that happen 29% likely to happen happen 29 out of every hundred times. |
| 1:32.6 | So that doesn't mean that there is any guarantee here. |
| 1:35.4 | But right now, the most mathematically likely scenario is Democrats holding the Senate, either |
| 1:40.8 | 50 50 or 51 to 49. |
| 1:44.0 | Now over in the House, the numbers are not looking as good for Democrats, but the numbers |
| 1:49.4 | are closing in on basically a two to one likelihood of Republicans taking the House, which |
| 1:56.1 | is far worse for Republicans than it has been at any previous point during this election |
| 2:02.3 | cycle. |
... |
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