#846 - Nate Silver - How Will The 2024 Election Play Out?

Modern Wisdom

Chris Williamson

Society & Culture, Health & Fitness

4.7 • 4.6K Ratings

🗓️ 3 October 2024

⏱️ 75 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Nate Silver is a statistician, writer of Silver Bulletin, and Founder of FiveThirtyEight. No one truly knows who will win an election, but if anyone does, it's Nate. He is the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling data assessments in America and has an insight into modern culture like no one else. Expect to learn why this election cycle differs from other ones, just how complex election prediction models are, what the most important topics of this election are, whether there is ever a chance for a 3rd party option to become president, the role of the media in determining who wins and much more… Sponsors: See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals Get $350 off the Pod 4 Ultra at https://eightsleep.com/modernwisdom (use code MODERNWISDOM) Get the Whoop 4.0 for free and get your first month for free at https://join.whoop.com/modernwisdom (automatically applied at checkout) Get a 20% discount on Nomatic’s amazing luggage at https://nomatic.com/modernwisdom (automatically applied at checkout) Extra Stuff: Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom Nate's Newsletter - Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/ Episodes You Might Enjoy: #577 - David Goggins - This Is How To Master Your Life: https://tinyurl.com/43hv6y59 #712 - Dr Jordan Peterson - How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs: https://tinyurl.com/2rtz7avf #700 - Dr Andrew Huberman - The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain: https://tinyurl.com/3ccn5vkp - Get In Touch: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact - Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Hello everybody, welcome back to the show. My guest today is Nate Silver, he's a statistician, a writer, and founder of 538.
0:08.8	No one truly knows who will win any election, but if anyone does, it's Nate.
0:13.7	He's the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling
0:16.8	data assessments in America, and because of that,
0:19.5	has an insight into modern culture like pretty much no one else.
0:23.6	Expect to learn why this election cycle differs from other ones, just how complex election
0:28.8	prediction models are, statistically, what the most important topics of this election are for each candidate,
0:34.0	whether there is ever a chance for a third party option to become president,
0:37.7	the role of the media in determining who wins, and much more.
0:43.0	Nate is a pretty unique guy.
0:47.0	He's sort of got this Chad, genius energy about him and yet works in the nerdiest area of statistics that you can.
0:54.8	Super into sports, I think he won $700,000 in private poker games
1:00.0	while writing this book, and yet also is the most respected pollster in all of America.
1:07.6	So yeah, strap in for this one.
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	...

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