83 - How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market
InvestED: The Rule #1 Investing Podcast
Phil Town & Danielle Town
4.6 • 1.6K Ratings
🗓️ 7 November 2016
⏱️ 35 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hey everybody this is Phil Towne this is Phil Towne |
| 0:07.0 | this is Danielle Town and we are here for the invested podcast where we're talking about investing and we're thinking, you know, |
| 0:17.2 | that it might be a little interesting to talk about the election that's happening tomorrow. |
| 0:22.0 | Yeah, I mean, we've been doing this multi-part series dad on our typical like what are the four |
| 0:30.7 | principles of investing according to Charlie Munger which has been awesome and I think we're on part seven maybe yeah |
| 0:39.7 | yeah i say seven but we're gonna take a little break from our multi-part series because |
| 0:44.8 | yeah this massive election is happening in the US and we both thought that we |
| 0:50.5 | should not ignore that and we should address it from an investing |
| 0:53.4 | perspective. Yeah there's a guy that did some research on this and and I'll look him up |
| 0:58.8 | while we're talking off I'll get you guys the data we'll put it on the website where he he found that if the |
| 1:07.0 | incumbent party the president from the incumbent party is in a time coming up to the election where the S&P 500 has gone down that year in the election |
| 1:18.7 | year. |
| 1:19.7 | Okay during the year of the election but before the election? Yeah, so like on the day of the election but before the election? |
| 1:23.0 | Yeah, so like on the day of the election, |
| 1:26.0 | if the S&P 500 is lower than it was when it started in January 1st, |
| 1:30.7 | okay. |
| 1:32.1 | The incumbent president loses the incumbent president's party loses. |
| 1:37.7 | Okay. All right and if |
| 1:40.3 | so loses seven out of eight times. |
| 1:44.7 | Ah, not every, okay, so there is an exception. |
| 1:47.0 | There is an exception. |
| 1:48.8 | And this year the market's been down, right? |
... |
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