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InvestED: The Rule #1 Investing Podcast

83 - How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market

InvestED: The Rule #1 Investing Podcast

Phil Town & Danielle Town

Business, Investing

4.61.6K Ratings

🗓️ 7 November 2016

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

We're releasing this podcast early just in time for the election. Is the November of an election year a good entry point for investors? This week we’re talking about the November 8th Presidential Election and how it relates to investing. We’ll cover what makes the stock market so volatile around an election and why this is a great time to start paying close attention to the companies on your watchlist. For show notes and more information, visit www.investedpodcast.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hey everybody this is Phil Towne this is Phil Towne

0:07.0

this is Danielle Town and we are here for the invested podcast where we're talking about investing and we're thinking, you know,

0:17.2

that it might be a little interesting to talk about the election that's happening tomorrow.

0:22.0

Yeah, I mean, we've been doing this multi-part series dad on our typical like what are the four

0:30.7

principles of investing according to Charlie Munger which has been awesome and I think we're on part seven maybe yeah

0:39.7

yeah i say seven but we're gonna take a little break from our multi-part series because

0:44.8

yeah this massive election is happening in the US and we both thought that we

0:50.5

should not ignore that and we should address it from an investing

0:53.4

perspective. Yeah there's a guy that did some research on this and and I'll look him up

0:58.8

while we're talking off I'll get you guys the data we'll put it on the website where he he found that if the

1:07.0

incumbent party the president from the incumbent party is in a time coming up to the election where the S&P 500 has gone down that year in the election

1:18.7

year.

1:19.7

Okay during the year of the election but before the election? Yeah, so like on the day of the election but before the election?

1:23.0

Yeah, so like on the day of the election,

1:26.0

if the S&P 500 is lower than it was when it started in January 1st,

1:30.7

okay.

1:32.1

The incumbent president loses the incumbent president's party loses.

1:37.7

Okay. All right and if

1:40.3

so loses seven out of eight times.

1:44.7

Ah, not every, okay, so there is an exception.

1:47.0

There is an exception.

1:48.8

And this year the market's been down, right?

...

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