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The Tim Ferriss Show

#604: Master Investor Ed Thorp on How to Think for Yourself, Mental Models for the Second Half of Life, How to Be Inner-Directed, How Basic Numeracy Is a Superpower, and The Dangers of Investing Fads

The Tim Ferriss Show

Tim Ferriss: Bestselling Author, Human Guinea Pig

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4.617.4K Ratings

🗓️ 28 June 2022

⏱️ 94 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Master Investor Ed Thorp on How to Think for Yourself, Mental Models for the Second Half of Life, How to Be Inner-Directed, How Basic Numeracy Is a Superpower, and The Dangers of Investing Fads | Brought to you by Wealthfront automated investing, Vuori comfortable and durable performance apparel, and Eight Sleep’s Pod Pro Cover sleeping solution for dynamic cooling and heating. More on all three below.

Edward O. Thorp (@edwardothorp) is the author of the bestseller Beat the Dealer, which transformed the game of blackjack. His subsequent book, Beat the Market, coauthored with Sheen T. Kassouf, influenced securities markets around the globe. He is also the author of A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street, How I Beat the Dealer and the Market.

Edward was one of the world’s best blackjack players and investors, and his hedge funds were profitable every year for 29 years. He lives in Newport Beach, California.

You can find our first conversation here.

Please enjoy!

This episode is brought to you by WealthfrontWealthfront pioneered the automated investing movement, sometimes referred to as ‘robo-advising,’ and they currently oversee $28 billion of assets for their clients. It takes about three minutes to sign up, and then Wealthfront will build you a globally diversified portfolio of ETFs based on your risk appetite and manage it for you at an incredibly low cost. 

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This episode is also brought to you by Eight Sleep! Eight Sleep’s Pod Pro Cover is the easiest and fastest way to sleep at the perfect temperature. It pairs dynamic cooling and heating with biometric tracking to offer the most advanced (and user-friendly) solution on the market. Simply add the Pod Pro Cover to your current mattress and start sleeping as cool as 55°F or as hot as 110°F. It also splits your bed in half, so your partner can choose a totally different temperature.

And now, my dear listeners—that’s you—can get $250 off the Pod Pro Cover. Simply go to EightSleep.com/Tim or use code TIM at checkout. 

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This episode is also brought to you by Vuori clothingVuori is a new and fresh perspective on performance apparel, perfect if you are sick and tired of traditional, old workout gear. Everything is designed for maximum comfort and versatility so that you look and feel as good in everyday life as you do working out.

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[06:39] The value of long-term thinking and the price of short-term thinking

[07:57] What is a common stock warrant?

[09:52] Why are people generally poor at taking longer term (or alternative) perspectives?

[11:08] Conversing about numeracy and common misunderstandings

[15:00] How to become more numeracy literate

[20:18] It’s Raining Man

[22:31] The Rule of 72

[26:14] Making the best financial decisions with unknown variables

[35:57] How to have fun learning about probability and statistics

[37:47] How to get an edge in hedge fund investing (with book recommendations)

[46:23] Ed’s methods for losing (or maintaining) weight and looking 60 in spite of being almost 90 years old

[53:38] Favorite beer

[55:03] Music as stress reduction

[56:02] Avoiding unnecessary risks

[1:04:12] The age-guessing experiment

[1:06:17] Other-directed vs. inner-directed and takeaways from The Lonely Crowd by David Riesman

[1:14:35] How an 89-year-old maintains hair growth

[1:17:20] Using scrap time

[1:19:45] A big change in Ed’s later life that increased its quality

[1:22:16] New reflections, future hopes, and parting thoughts

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This episode is brought to you by Viori Clothing spelled V-U-O-R-I Viori. I've been wearing Viori

0:07.9

at least one item per day for the last few months and you can use it for everything. It's

0:14.8

performance apparel but it can be used for working out, it can be used for going out to dinner,

0:20.6

at least in my case. I feel very comfortable with it. Super comfortable, super stylish and I just

0:26.8

want to read something that one of my employees said. She is an athlete, she is quite technical,

0:32.5

although she would never say that. Now, Astra, if she had ever used or heard of Viori and this was her

0:38.8

response. I do love their stuff, been using them for about a year. I think I found them at RRI,

0:43.6

first for my partner T-shirts that are super soft but somehow last as he's hard on stuff.

0:48.1

And then I got into the super soft cotton yoga pants and jogger sweatpants. I live in them and

0:53.6

they too have lasted. They're stylish enough. I can wear them out and about. The material is just

0:57.8

super soft and durable. I just got their Clementine running shorts for summer and love them. The

1:02.2

brand seems pretty popular, constantly sold out, enclosing and I'm abbreviating here but enclosing

1:07.2

with the exception of when I need technical outdoor gear, they're the only brand I bought in the

1:11.3

last year or so for yoga running lounge wear that lasts and that I think look good also. I like

1:17.6

the discrete logo. So that gives you some idea that was not intended for the sponsor read. That was

1:24.1

just her response via text. Viori, against called V-U-O-R-I, is designed for maximum comfort and

1:30.8

versatility. You can wear it running. You can wear their stuff training, doing yoga, lounging,

1:35.9

weekend errands or in my case again going out to dinner. It really doesn't matter what you're doing.

1:40.9

Their clothing is so comfortable and it looks so good and it's not offensive that you don't have a

1:47.6

huge brand logo in your face. You'll just want to be in them all this time and my girlfriend and I

1:52.4

have been wearing them for the last few months. They're men's core short K-O-R-E. The most

1:58.0

comfortable line athletic shirt is your one short for every sport. I've been using it for

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