421. How to Prevent Another Great Depression
Freakonomics Radio
Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher
4.5 β’ 32.8K Ratings
ποΈ 11 June 2020
β±οΈ 38 minutes
ποΈ Recording | iTunes | RSS
π§ΎοΈ Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Last week on the show, we started a conversation about the massive job loss from COVID-19. |
| 0:07.7 | The true unemployment rate is probably around 19-20% right now. |
| 0:13.9 | No one was prepared for this. |
| 0:15.9 | If a year ago the same person had brought me this table of statistics and said this is |
| 0:21.5 | what I calculated, I would have said you did something wrong. |
| 0:25.3 | So how will re-employment happen? |
| 0:27.9 | Last week, the U.S. Department of Labor delivered a huge surprise. |
| 0:31.8 | Its jobs report for the month of May found that the economy, rather than losing another |
| 0:36.4 | 8 million jobs, as was predicted, actually added back to a half million jobs. |
| 0:41.8 | That said, the unemployment rate is still higher than it's been since the Great Depression, |
| 0:46.6 | and a lot of the lost jobs in retail and restaurants, for instance, are unlikely to return |
| 0:51.8 | anytime soon. |
| 0:53.6 | Many high-income employees like consultants and lawyers and middle managers will suffer, |
| 0:59.1 | but a lot of lower-paying jobs may simply disappear, whether due to lack of demand, or |
| 1:05.4 | the increase in automation. |
| 1:08.1 | Last week, we looked at one employment policy that was designed to help a certain category |
| 1:12.3 | of low-income employee, former prisoners, often young men without a college degree. |
| 1:17.9 | The policy is called Ban the Box, and it got rid of the box that job applicants used |
| 1:22.3 | to check to indicate that they had been in prison. |
| 1:25.2 | The idea was that employers would be less likely to rule out such an applicant early in |
| 1:29.9 | the process and give them a better chance of getting hired. |
| 1:33.6 | But the policy is mostly backfired, punishing applicants who hadn't been to prison, but |
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