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The Lincoln Project

345: 6 Months Out

The Lincoln Project

The Lincoln Project

News, Government, Politics, News Commentary

4.69.1K Ratings

🗓️ 30 May 2024

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Just six months out from the election, host Rick Wilson offers a candid analysis of the current political landscape. He discusses the reliability of various polls, the effectiveness of the Biden administration's major legislative achievements, and the continuous controversies surrounding Donald Trump. Rick warns of the challenges ahead, urging unity and vigilance against misinformation. He also touches on the implications of potential Supreme Court decisions and the critical importance of voter turnout to counter what he describes as a threatening political agenda by Trump.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Your task will not be an easy one.

0:02.6

Your enemy is well trained, well equipped, and battle-hardy.

0:06.5

There is not a liberal America and a conservative America.

0:10.3

There is the United States of America.

0:15.2

Good night and good luck.

0:17.4

Hey, folks, it's Rick.

0:18.5

Welcome back to the Lincoln Project.

0:20.7

I wanted to talk to you a little bit about

0:22.0

where we stand as the six-month mark has hove into view for this election. I want to tell you some

0:28.1

good news and some bad news. I want to talk to you a little bit about where I see and where the

0:33.0

Lincoln Project sees the terrain of this election. And look, you've all heard over and over again,

0:39.5

oh, a poll came out today that said Donald Trump is ahead here or there or that Joe Biden

0:44.1

is ahead here or there. First, let me tell you to take a deep breath. Right now, you're still

0:49.5

seeing a lot of surveys, a lot of polls out there that are scaring you. Why are they scaring you?

0:54.0

Because they do

0:54.5

two things. One, they use either all the voters or registered voters, which is ridiculous.

1:00.8

You need to be looking at likely voters right now drawn from the voter file. I don't want to go

1:05.2

into the technical weeds on it, but a lot of the surveys you're seeing out there are pretty superficial. They are not

1:13.1

reflecting the state of the electorate in a lot of states. Now, I'm not telling you that it's all

1:17.8

sunshine and roses that you can go and check out for the next six months because you can't.

1:23.6

This is going to be a tight race. It is going to be a difficult race. But we're going to have a

1:29.2

competition between two men right now that is exactly what you think it's going to be.

...

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