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On The Market

207: What Happens If Interest Rates Stay High?

On The Market

BiggerPockets

News, Investing, Business, Education

4.8820 Ratings

🗓️ 11 April 2024

⏱️ 36 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Mortgage rates were supposed to be going down by now, but what happened? Even in late 2023, many housing market experts predicted that we’d be seeing high to mid six percent mortgage rates at this point and hovering around the high five percent rate mark by the end of the year, but the Fed isn’t showing any sign of lowering rates soon. Some experts even believe rates could go UP again this year as the job market stays hot and the economy sees unprecedented strength. This begs the question: What IF mortgage rates remain high? It’s a reality many of us don’t want to see, but 2024 could end with minor, if any, rate cuts, keeping monthly mortgage payments high and affordability low. So, what should an investor do in this situation? Sit on the sidelines? Invest in a different asset class? Pray to Jerome Powell? While that last option may be worthwhile, top real estate investors are saying that NOW is the time to buy BEFORE rates fall. What do we mean? We’ve got the entire expert investor panel here to give their take on what investors should do IF rates don’t fall. From house flipping to long-term buy and hold rentals, our nationwide panel of investors shares exactly what they’re doing to make money even with high interest rates. Plus, we’ll give our predictions on when rates could fall, what will happen to housing inventory, what young people should do NOW to get their first house, and why investors need to “reset” if they want to thrive in this high rate housing market. In This Episode We Cover: Mortgage rate predictions and when interest rates could finally start falling What should investors do IF mortgage rates stay high throughout 2024 The “lock-in effect” and whether or not high rates are leading to lower inventory The homes that are flying off the market in many areas (and the ones that are sitting) How young people can creatively get into their first home or investment property Why investors MUST “reset” their expectations if they’re to build wealth in this housing market And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Agent BiggerPockets Bootcamps Join BiggerPockets for FREE On The Market Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's Instagram James' BiggerPockets Profile James' Instagram Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's Instagram BiggerPockets' Instagram The Federal Reserve Leaves Rates Untouched as Pressure Mounts on Inflation Top Lenders on Mortgage Rate Predictions + Loans You’ve NEVER Heard Of Why Mortgage Rates AREN’T Falling Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-207 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

At the beginning of the year, there was a lot of optimism that we would see mortgage rates

0:04.8

decline over the course of the year.

0:06.9

So far, that hasn't happened.

0:09.6

So the question we're going to dive into today is what happens if interest rates stay high?

0:14.6

What does this mean for housing inventory?

0:17.4

First-time homebuyers, investors.

0:19.2

Today, we're going to be digging into it all.

0:26.7

What's up, everyone? I'm your host, Dave Meyer, and today I have Kathy, Henry, and James with me

0:31.2

to discuss where we think the market will go if interest rates stayed elevated for longer.

0:37.0

Now, I know we were all feeling optimistic

0:39.0

and it hasn't really happened the way most people were expecting. Henry, have you lost hope?

0:44.8

Are you still confident that you can navigate this situation? No, I feel like we can definitely

0:51.9

navigate the current climate. I am optimistic at some point

0:55.7

rates will come down, but I'm more optimistic in my ability to find opportunities in any market,

1:01.8

and there have definitely been great opportunities to buy great deals right now.

1:06.3

Speaking of any climate, Kathy, can you just fill in our audience a little bit about what the climate actually

1:11.9

is and where mortgage rates are right now? Well, it's not a climate that a lot of us were expecting

1:17.3

or like at this time. The job market has just been so strong. It has shocked so many economists,

1:24.6

and wage growth has been strong. It's slowing down a little bit now. But just this last week's

1:30.0

jobs report was it beat expectations again. And what that generally means is the economy is doing

1:36.9

well. And when the economy is doing well, interest rates tend to stay high. And inflation is still high.

1:42.2

So this is unexpected. This means that the, you know,

...

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