4.8 • 966 Ratings
🗓️ 7 November 2022
⏱️ 41 minutes
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0:00.0 | I won't tell you that it's gonna be okay. |
0:07.0 | I won't tell you that it's going to be okay. |
0:15.0 | All right, welcome to another episode of the Bakari Sellers podcast. |
0:18.0 | Today we have a friend of the show, somebody I wanted to have on prior to these elections so that when we call him back after the |
0:23.9 | elections we can tell him how much he was wrong about. |
0:27.2 | None other than my good friend Ron Brownstein from you may know him from |
0:32.1 | Twitter you may know him from the Atlantic and you may know him from |
0:37.0 | CNN so Ron what's up welcome back to the show hey thanks for having me here in the final, final frenzied hours. |
0:46.2 | I mean, practically speaking, though, unless your race is airtight, |
0:49.6 | you've already won or lost. |
0:51.0 | Races aren't won in the last week is that an accurate statement? |
0:55.0 | Well you know I I I guess I don't have a super strong opinion about that I mean the best |
1:00.8 | evidence that we have historically |
1:03.0 | are exit polls ask people when they decided. |
1:07.1 | And sometimes the late deciders are different |
1:10.1 | than the early deciders. |
1:11.1 | I was looking at some of the 2018 races the the other day, you know, and then there's the bigger question is whether that as you know kind of an old saw in politics is that incumbents get their poll number and that whatever and if you're an incumbent under 50 even if you're ahead you have to be scared because most of the undecided in the final in the last polls, which I assume are coming in, you know, right about now, will go toward the challenger. I mean that used to be considered a hard and fast rule. I don't think like everything else, I mean it seems a little less hard and fast than it used to be. But I still think that the character of the voters who decide at the end |
1:53.0 | is a little different because they tend to be people |
1:55.1 | who are kind of checked out, you know, |
1:57.2 | and who are not really participating |
1:59.7 | in the arguments between the parties. |
2:02.1 | And to the extent that is true, I think that is a problem for Democrats this year because Democrats have made this closer than the fundamentals would argue because of their success at framing some arguments about Republicans and it may be that these last voters are not really tuned into those arguments and they're just more reacting to gas and groceries and you know things like that. So I don't know, I, you know, I don't really have a strong opinion about how much the last few days tends to matter, but I have a feeling that the late deciders will probably not be hugely friendly to Democrats. |
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