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The John Batchelor Show

2: The Antifragile Winners: Phoenician Trade and Cypriot Iron Innovation AUTHOR NAME: Eric Cline BOOK TITLE: After 1177 BC, The Survival of Civilizations Professor Cline identifies the Phoenicians and Cypriots as "antifragile" because they flourished during

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Arts, Books, Society & Culture

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 12 October 2025

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

      

The Antifragile Winners: Phoenician Trade and Cypriot Iron Innovation

AUTHOR NAME: Eric Cline

BOOK TITLE: After 1177 BC, The Survival of Civilizations

Professor Cline identifies the Phoenicians and Cypriots as "antifragile" because they flourished during the chaos following the collapse. The Phoenicians, surviving Canaanites, took over Mediterranean trade, spread the alphabet (leading to Greek and Latin scripts), and founded colonies like Carthage. The Cypriots transitioned to iron work, sending technology and tools across the Mediterranean. Iron use was an innovation after the collapse, not its cause.

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:24.0

I'm John Batchel with Professor Eric Klein. The new book is after 1177 BC.

0:29.6

Civilization collapsed, the globalization trade collapse, but there were big winners called technically anti-fragile.

0:38.4

Guess.

0:39.4

One came with the alphabet, maybe.

0:41.8

The other came with iron, maybe.

0:44.1

The Phoenicians, who the professor tells me, never called themselves Phoenicians.

0:49.0

They identified with cities, Tyre and Sidon and Beirut, Biblos.

0:58.4

Those traders, and then there are the genius metallurgists of Cyprus. And this is important to mention because we're talking about

1:05.0

how you deal with collapse. The Assyrians dealt with it with leadership. The Egyptians dealt with it by retracting.

1:12.4

You know, they took a recession.

1:14.5

The Phoenicians and the Cypriots are opportunists.

1:19.0

Accidentally, professor, or were they geniuses?

1:22.9

I'm going to go with genius rather than accidental.

1:26.6

It seemed very deliberate.

1:28.2

But yes, both the Phoenicians and the Cypriots are at the top of my list.

...

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