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InvestED: The Rule #1 Investing Podcast

199- Recession Prepping?

InvestED: The Rule #1 Investing Podcast

Phil Town & Danielle Town

Investing, Business

4.61.6K Ratings

🗓️ 5 February 2019

⏱️ 33 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This week Phil and Danielle discuss prepping for the next recession. Seth Klarman published a paper to his investors that is a little scary. It basically takes a grim position on the economy and where we're at. We’re at the end of a long credit cycle with a ton of debt, there’s potential of recession, potential depression, potential wars, potential riots. A lot of really unpleasant things can happen at the end of a credit cycle when you simply have too much debt worldwide. We also talk about why Phil doesn’t think it doesn't hurt to be in cash for 3 years if you're in cash when it all hits the fan and you can take advantage of that. The goal is to have capital available to invest when everybody else thinks it's the end of the world. Rule #1 investors want to invest want to invest in 1932 after the depression hit. We don't want to invest in 1999 during the dot-com bubble. We don't want to invest in 2007. We want to buy fear and sell greed. For show notes and more information “We have a rainstorm due. It didn’t come last year. It could come this year. It could come next year. But, it’s coming.”- Phil Town For show notes and more information visit www.investedpodcast.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

This episode is brought to you by Pepsi Max. Christmas is great, but there's loads of ways to make it better.

0:08.0

Like sneaking some chili into the gravy for some extra ink, or building a playlist that will even get your

0:14.8

none up on the table or just cracking open an ice cold Pepsi Max. Christmas better with Pepsi Max Christmas.

0:23.0

Better with Pepsi Max. Hey everybody this is Phil Town and this is Danielle Town.

0:35.0

Welcome to the Invested Podcast. We are learning teaching investing, Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger style, and what that really boils

0:46.5

down to is buying a few wonderful companies, Charlie calls this focused investing we found out last week.

0:53.2

I like that you remembered. Yeah, pretty good. We're buying a few wonderful businesses

0:58.9

and we're going to sit on them and they're going to compound our money and make us wealthier and that is the idea and

1:07.0

that sounds great where do I sign up yeah and the catch is not so much, well there's two catches, you got to figure out what of the many wonderful

1:17.1

businesses that are out there, which ones you can really understand, and you've got to buy them when they're on sale and that on sale thing is really a puzzle right now because man alive it's the markets have been

1:30.0

screamingly high for the last three years.

1:33.2

And they are starting to kind of pop around now

1:36.0

and maybe start to indicate that might be going down.

1:38.4

But buying companies at this level right here,

1:41.8

at the prices people are paying for them, especially if you

1:44.0

diversify and buy a whole bunch of them, have historically resulted in nearly

1:49.7

zero percent rates of return over the next 20 years.

1:53.6

And if that doesn't get your attention

1:55.4

for your retirement and your potential for living well,

2:00.4

I'm sorry, you're not paying attention. You need to be paying attention I think

2:04.4

don't you tell you most of us are not paying attention. This is true. That's my own

2:09.1

personal experience which is really really scary. I'm telling you really scary? Really scary.

...

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