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The John Batchelor Show

1/2: #PRC #Russia: Nuclear war and the Two Peer problem. Henry Sokolski, Nonproliferation Policy Education Center

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

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4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 8 April 2023

⏱️ 13 minutes

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1/2: #PRC #Russia: Nuclear war and the Two Peer problem. Henry Sokolski, Nonproliferation Policy Education Center
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/CGSR_Two_Peer_230314.pdf

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is CBS. I am the world. I am John Bachelors.

0:08.8

Nuclear Armageddon. A topic that the 20th century featured again and again until the end

0:14.8

of the Soviet Union. The presumption was the US had survived all of the threats and was

0:21.8

now the one stop for deterring nuclear weapons in the rogue states. That was then. This is

0:30.0

now a welcome Henry Sikolsky, the non-proliferation policy education center, to help me comment

0:37.0

on a new document just made available in the spring of 2023 entitled, and this is the problem.

0:45.0

China's emergence as a second nuclear peer, implications for US nuclear deterrent strategy

0:52.2

this is a report from a study group convened by the Center for Global Security Research at the

0:57.9

Lawrence Livermore National Lab. Henry, a very good evening to you. A two-peer problem. What is that?

1:04.9

What does it mean for this document? Good evening to you. Good evening. What it means is we have to

1:11.6

worry not just about Russia as we did during the Cold War years from 45 through 89. We now have to

1:19.9

worry about China as well and possibly China and Russia working together against us in future

1:30.0

crises or God forbid wars. That is not anything that we've dealt with for quite a long time.

1:40.9

I think the previous period where we had to worry about this was in the 30s when we had to worry

1:46.8

about Japan and the access powers, essentially Nazi Germany. So we're going backwards with

1:56.1

regard to stability, I suppose. A two-peer problem with a twist. Russia has made it very clear that

2:03.0

nuclear weapons are on the minds of those who were in the Kremlin in control of the Ukraine war.

2:08.8

Vladimir Putin repeatedly mentions nuclear weapons either the Satan II strategic ballistic

2:14.7

missile with a nuclear warhead that has been tested or so-called tactical nukes deployed or

2:20.6

not deployed near the front of NATO. China, on the other hand, has made it very clear that it is

2:26.8

building a force that may be right now, feeling more ICBMs with warheads than the United States have

2:34.4

and at the same time allowing the U.S. to see the number of silos being constructed in north-western

...

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